The chance of hatching this Pokemon from an egg in Pokemon GO is frighteningly low. It amounts to only…

A new creature in Pokemon GO is really hard to get. It’s all about its chance to hatch from an egg.

Recently, a new creature made its debut in the game. However, it turns out that getting it is really difficult and you have to make some effort for it.

All because it hatches from eggs, which means that not only do you have to walk the proper distance, but also be extremely lucky – the chance of hatching is terribly low.

Larvesta in eggs in Pokemon GO

The An Instinctive Hero event in Pokemon GO kicked off on May 2. Among the highlights is the debut of two new creatures: Larvesta and its evolution – Volcarona. The event description reads:

As of this event, Larvesta will join the pool of Pokémon hatching from 2-, 5- and 10-kilometer eggs. In addition to Larvesta, other Pokémon in the pool of 2-, 5- and 10-kilometer eggs will also be hatched from these eggs over the course of a given season.

Players were happy to know that there would be something more interesting in the eggs, so they went on walks to see how quickly they would get their Larvesta. And this is where a problem arose because it turned out that the chance of hatching her was frighteningly low.

Some Pokemon Go fans have banded together to calculate the exact hatching rate of new Pokemon in the game. If their findings are true, the chances of Larvesta hatching are frighteningly low at less than 1%.

The creature’s hatching rate was calculated by fans and posted on Reddit, where players commented en masse, expressing their disappointment. The observed hatching rate of Larvesta was less than 1% of the eligible eggs from distances of 2 km, 5 km, and 10 km.

Distance Eggs hatched Number of Larvesta Chance of hatching
2 km 143 1 0,70%
5 km 148 1 0,68%
10 km 73 1 1,37%

Daredevils, whose task was to calculate the hatching rate of Pokémon, came to the conclusion that to acquire one Larvesta they had to walk an average of 1.136 kilometers. Thus, a normal player would have to travel about 19,000 kilometers to get the 400 candies needed to evolve one Larvesta into a Volcarona. Such results seem frightening.

Of course, there was no shortage of people in the comments who claimed to have gained a new creature already from the first egg, plus this one was in the shiny version. This is possible, but really unlikely and the average player will not experience such a thing.

It is worth remembering that these are fan calculations and there is no certainty what the official hatching rate is, but it is safe to say that it is very low, making the new Pokémon – and especially its evolution – super rare.